Analysis of government stake in tobacco sales

Status
Not open for further replies.

rolygate

Vaping Master
Supporting Member
ECF Veteran
Verified Member
Sep 24, 2009
8,354
12,402
ECF Towers
In many countries the government is the major stakeholder in cigarette sales, not the tobacco industry. In the West, some governments are a 90% stakeholder, because about 85% of revenue goes to them, as virtually all of the cost price is tax, and there are substantial additional benefits and savings for government - such as not having to pay pensions or social support to smokers who die early.

The tobacco industry gets just 10% - 15% of the purchase price, and may end up, when the maths is done, as an 8% - 10% stakeholder in tobacco sales overall. In reality, you purchase your pack of cigarettes from the government.

In China, as the government is also a major shareholder in the tobacco companies, it is probably an even bigger stakeholder in cigarette sales. It doesn't own any ecig companies though; and it may act even more strongly to protect tobacco tax revenues than governments in the West.

The exact figures in the UK are available as it's a relatively small place with good statistics collection. The stats are not universally agreed (there are multiple sources for the same figure, which all differ slightly) - but in a given year around 2012 they would be:

  • Total income from tobacco sales is around £14bn (14 billion GBP) / $22.5bn [1]
  • The industry gets about £2bn / $3.2bn from sales
  • The government gets about £12bn / $19.3bn
  • Cost of treating sick smokers is said to be £2.7bn, let's round it up to: £3bn / $4.8bn per year.
  • Government savings on social support of all types due to smokers dying early is estimated at £10bn / $16bn per year.
So: the government takes 85% of sales - about £12bn / $19.2bn from tobacco sales vs the industry's £2bn / $3.2bn.
Total UK government gain however = ~£22bn (22 billion GBP) / $35.3bn per year.
The UK government total tax income per year is forecast as £588bn currently [2].
Per day from all sources is about £1.6bn / $2.5bn.
The UK government makes approximately 2.1% of all tax income from tobacco, plus an additional £10bn savings, but minus £3bn costs.

The UK government, by virtue of tax and expenditure savings, is around a 90% stakeholder in tobacco sales. Cigarettes are, in effect, bought from the government; and this provides at least one reason why cigarette sales are protected.


----------------
[1] UK tobacco market summary » Tobacco Manufacturers' Association

[2] http://www.ifs.org.uk/bns/bn09.pdf
UK tax receipts since 1963: full data | UK news | guardian.co.uk
 
Last edited:
Status
Not open for further replies.

Users who are viewing this thread