online lung cancer risk calculators

[damachine]

Hi,
I wonder how reliable calculators like this are:
National Lung Screening Trial

I smoked for 5 years in my 20s and quit. The tool doesn't even accept pack years less than 10, but even if I smoked 10 pack years, if I was 80 years old, my lung cancer risk in the next 5 years is only 0.3%. That seems pretty low.

What do you guys think?

 

[NCC]

My guess is that the 0.3% is pretty close to baseline. That is, what you'd expect even if you'd never smoked.

 

[Falconeer]

Anything else cheery to post?

I hear there's an asteroid the size of London doing a near miss this weekend ... this might throw the calculations out a bit if it hits.

50+ years a smoker here BTW, keeping his fingers crossed while awaiting for the Ole Grim Reaper to pop out any minute now.

 

[UncLeJunkLe]

I wonder how reliable calculators like this are:

About as reliable as a crack addict employee.

Fear of death and disease will kill you. Use common sense and march forward.

 

[UncLeJunkLe]

I hear there's an asteroid the size of London doing a near miss this weekend

Did you use the asteroid strike calculator?

 

[ShowMeTwice]

What do you guys think?

True story...

We're born. We live. We die someday. Hopefully you're enjoying the crap out of, and are making the best of, the living part. End of story.

 

[PapawBrett]

I am 100 % certain that whoever published this will die.
I am 100 % certain that whoever works for a government agency will die.
I am 100 % certain that every living thing on this planet will eventually die.
Might not know when, where or how, but if you are reading this ....
I am 100 % certain that eventually everything that lives will die.



For me, vaping is about living better. Without the wheezing, coughing, or hurting that tobacco eventually produces.